Lions vs. Raiders Player Props: Expert Picks and Predictions

The Detroit Lions and Las Vegas Raiders square off in a pivotal Week 13 matchup that has significant implications for both teams. With both teams boasting talented rosters, player props offer an exciting opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated high-scoring affair. Our experts have analyzed the matchup and identified several player props that offer value and potential for success.

Quarterback Props

Derek Carr Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Carr has surpassed 255.5 passing yards in six of his last seven games, including 307 yards against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 12. The Raiders offense has been clicking under new head coach Josh McDaniels, and Carr is averaging 275.4 passing yards per game this season. Against a Lions defense that ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass, Carr is a strong candidate to hit the over on his passing yardage prop.

Jared Goff Under 269.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Goff has struggled to reach 270 passing yards in recent weeks, failing to do so in four of his last five games. The Lions offense has been anemic, averaging just 18.4 points per game this season. Against a Raiders defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards per game (194.3), Goff faces an uphill battle to surpass his passing yardage prop.

Running Back Props

Josh Jacobs Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Jacobs has been a workhorse for the Raiders this season, averaging 20.3 carries per game. He has rushed for over 75.5 yards in eight of his 11 games played this season. The Lions defense has allowed an average of 129.4 rushing yards per game, making Jacobs a strong candidate to exceed his rushing yardage prop.

Jamaal Williams Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Williams has emerged as the lead running back for the Lions and has rushed for over 66.5 yards in three of his last four games. He is averaging 15.3 carries per game this season and has shown a knack for finding the end zone, scoring seven touchdowns in 11 games. Against a Raiders defense that has allowed 4.7 yards per carry this season, Williams has a good chance of hitting the over on his rushing yardage prop.

Wide Receiver Props

Davante Adams Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Adams is the clear-cut top target in the Raiders offense and has surpassed 89.5 receiving yards in seven of his 11 games played this season. He is averaging 90.5 receiving yards per game and has a strong connection with Carr. Against a Lions defense that ranks 31st in the NFL against the pass, Adams is a great pick to exceed his receiving yardage prop.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

St. Brown has been Goff's go-to receiver this season and has surpassed 76.5 receiving yards in five of his last seven games. He is averaging 9.1 targets per game and has shown a knack for making big plays. Against a Raiders defense that has allowed 257.5 passing yards per game, St. Brown has a good chance of hitting the over on his receiving yardage prop.

Tight End Props

Darren Waller Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Waller has returned from injury and immediately made an impact in the Raiders offense. He has surpassed 49.5 receiving yards in three of his last four games and is averaging 5.8 targets per game. Against a Lions defense that has allowed 5.0 receptions per game to tight ends this season, Waller is a good pick to hit the over on his receiving yardage prop.

Brock Wright Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Wright has emerged as a reliable target for Goff in recent weeks and has surpassed 32.5 receiving yards in three of his last four games. He is averaging 4.0 targets per game and has shown a knack for finding soft spots in the defense. Against a Raiders defense that has allowed 6.3 receptions per game to tight ends this season, Wright has a good chance of hitting the over on his receiving yardage prop.

Defensive Props

Denzel Perryman Over 7.5 Total Tackles (-115)

Perryman is the leading tackler for the Raiders this season and has surpassed 7.5 total tackles in seven of his 11 games played. He is averaging 8.1 total tackles per game and has a knack for making plays all over the field. Against a Lions offense that has averaged 24.6 points per game this season, Perryman is a strong candidate to exceed his total tackles prop.

Alex Anzalone Over 6.5 Total Tackles (-115)

Anzalone has been a steady contributor for the Lions defense this season and has surpassed 6.5 total tackles in five of his last seven games. He is averaging 6.9 total tackles per game and has shown a knack for making plays in the running game. Against a Raiders offense that has averaged 131.3 rushing yards per game this season, Anzalone is a good pick to hit the over on his total tackles prop.

Expert Picks and Predictions

Our experts have analyzed the matchup and identified the following player props as their top picks for the Lions vs. Raiders game:

• Derek Carr Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)
• Josh Jacobs Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
• Davante Adams Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
• Denzel Perryman Over 7.5 Total Tackles (-115)

Effective Strategies for Betting on Player Props

• Set a Budget: Before you start betting on player props, set a budget and stick to it. This will help you avoid chasing losses and going over your head in debt.
• Shop for Lines: Not all sportsbooks offer the same lines on player props. Be sure to shop around for the best lines to maximize your potential return.
• Consider the Matchup: The matchup between the two teams and the players involved can have a significant impact on player prop outcomes. Be sure to consider the strengths and weaknesses of each team when making your selections.
• Don't Be Afraid to Fade the Public: The public often bets on the favorites in player props. This can create value in betting against the favorites, as the odds may be inflated.
• Manage Your Risk: Player props can be a risky way to bet. Be sure to manage your risk by betting only a small percentage of your bankroll on each prop.

Tips and Tricks for Betting on Player Props

• Look for Trends: One of the best ways to find value in player props is to look for trends. For example, if a player has surpassed 100 rushing yards in three consecutive games, they may be a good bet to do it again in the next game.
• Use Historical Data: Historical data can be a valuable resource when betting on player props. Be sure to look at a player's past performance against the opposing team, in the same stadium, and under similar weather conditions.
• Watch the Weather: The weather can have a significant impact on player prop outcomes. For example, a player's passing yardage total may be lower in a game with rain or wind.
• Monitor Injuries: Injuries can have a major impact on player prop outcomes. Be sure to monitor the injury reports for both teams before making your selections.
• Bet Responsibly: Player props can be a fun way to add excitement to your sports betting experience. However, it is important to bet responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Common Mistakes to Avoid When Betting on Player Props

• Betting Too Many Props: One of the biggest mistakes bettors make is betting on too many props. This can spread your bankroll too thin and increase your risk of losing money.
• Chasing Losses: Another common mistake is chasing losses. If you lose a few bets in a row, don't try to make up for it by betting more money on the next prop. This is a surefire way to lose more money.
• Ignoring the Matchup: As mentioned earlier, the matchup between the two teams and the players involved can have a significant impact on player prop outcomes. Don't ignore the matchup when making your selections.
• Overvaluing Home Field Advantage: Home field advantage can be a factor in player prop outcomes, but it is not as significant as some bettors believe. Don't overvalue home field advantage when making your selections.
• Betting on Emotion: It is important to bet with your head, not your heart. Don't let your emotions cloud your judgment when making your selections