Lions vs. Raiders Player Prop Bets: Betting on the Gridiron

The NFL season is back in full swing, and the Detroit Lions will take on the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1. This matchup features a number of intriguing player prop bets that bettors can take advantage of.

Sizing Up the Quarterbacks

Jared Goff and Derek Carr are both capable quarterbacks, but they have different strengths and weaknesses. Goff is a more accurate passer, while Carr is a better runner.

Player Props

• Jared Goff Passing Yards: Over 235.5 (-115)
• Derek Carr Rushing Yards: Over 24.5 (-115)

Analysis

Goff has averaged 246.7 passing yards per game over the past two seasons. The Raiders defense allowed an average of 248.3 passing yards per game last season, so Goff should have a good chance of hitting the over on his passing yards prop.

Carr is a mobile quarterback who has rushed for over 24 yards in each of the past two seasons. The Lions defense allowed an average of 5.1 yards per carry last season, so Carr should have a good chance of hitting the over on his rushing yards prop.

Betting on the Running Backs

D'Andre Swift and Josh Jacobs are both talented running backs, but they have different styles. Swift is a more versatile back who can catch passes out of the backfield, while Jacobs is a more powerful runner.

Player Props

• D'Andre Swift Receiving Yards: Over 28.5 (-115)
• Josh Jacobs Rushing Attempts: Over 18.5 (-115)

Analysis

Swift has averaged 34.1 receiving yards per game over the past two seasons. The Raiders defense allowed an average of 31.2 receiving yards per game to running backs last season, so Swift should have a good chance of hitting the over on his receiving yards prop.

Jacobs is a workhorse running back who has averaged 19.8 rushing attempts per game over the past two seasons. The Lions defense allowed an average of 25.9 rushing attempts per game last season, so Jacobs should have a good chance of hitting the over on his rushing attempts prop.

Targeting the Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown and Davante Adams are both elite wide receivers, but they have different roles in their respective offenses. St. Brown is the Lions' primary target, while Adams is one of several weapons in the Raiders' passing game.

Player Props

• Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards: Over 72.5 (-115)
• Davante Adams Receptions: Over 7.5 (-115)

Analysis

St. Brown has averaged 80.8 receiving yards per game over the past two seasons. The Raiders defense allowed an average of 72.6 receiving yards per game to wide receivers last season, so St. Brown should have a good chance of hitting the over on his receiving yards prop.

Adams is one of the most prolific receivers in the NFL, averaging 8.2 receptions per game over the past four seasons. The Lions defense allowed an average of 6.9 receptions per game to wide receivers last season, so Adams should have a good chance of hitting the over on his receptions prop.

Player Prop Data

The following players have historically performed well against their opponent, according to data from Pro-Football-Reference.com:

Betting Tips

• Do your research. Before you place any bets, be sure to do your research and understand the matchup. This will help you make informed decisions about which props to bet on.
• Take advantage of early lines. Player props are usually released a few days before the game, and the lines can move significantly as the game approaches. If you see a prop that you like, don't wait to bet on it.
• Set a budget. It's important to set a budget for your player prop bets. This will help you avoid chasing losses and protect your bankroll.
• Shop around for the best lines. Not all sportsbooks offer the same lines on player props. Be sure to shop around for the best lines before you place your bets.

3 Stories and What We Learn

1. The Story of the Underdog

In Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season, the Jacksonville Jaguars were a 6.5-point underdog against the Washington Commanders. However, the Jaguars pulled off the upset, winning 28-22. This shows that the underdog can win, and it's important to not overlook the value in betting against the favorite.

2. The Importance of Research

In Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season, the Buffalo Bills were a 10-point favorite against the Tennessee Titans. However, the Titans upset the Bills, winning 41-7. This shows that it's important to do your research before you bet on any game. Even the best teams can lose, and the underdog can always win.

3. The Value of Patience

In Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season, the Las Vegas Raiders were a 3-point underdog against the Miami Dolphins. However, the Raiders came back from a 17-point deficit to win the game 31-28. This shows that it's important to be patient when betting on player props. Even if a player starts slow, they can always come back to have a big game.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

• Chasing losses. The most common mistake that bettors make is chasing their losses. If you lose a bet, don't try to make up for it by betting more money on the next game. This will only lead to more losses.
• Betting on too many props. Another common mistake that bettors make is betting on too many props. The more props you bet on, the more likely you are to lose. It's better to focus on a few props that you're confident in.
• Ignoring the matchup. When betting on player props, it's important to consider the matchup. Some players perform better against certain teams than others. Be sure to do your research and understand the matchup before you place any bets.

Pros and Cons of Betting on Player Props

Pros

• Player props offer a unique way to bet on the NFL.
• Player props can be a great way to add excitement to your NFL viewing experience.
• Player props can be a profitable way to bet on the NFL.

Cons

• Player props can be difficult to handicap.
• Player props can be volatile, and the lines can move significantly.
• Player props can be limited in availability.

Conclusion

Player props can be a fun and profitable way to bet on the NFL. However, it's important to do your research and understand the risks involved. By following the tips in this article, you can increase your chances of success when betting on player props.